Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.919957 1.036966 1.164672 1.314646 1.486256 1.676852 1.905066
2024-12-29 0.742497 0.900983 1.088563 1.328007 1.627025 1.990053 2.467109
2025-01-05 0.631924 0.804483 1.019850 1.310409 1.695240 2.191703 2.887539
2025-01-12 0.556196 0.736050 0.970402 1.301255 1.761316 2.385758 3.310033
2025-01-19 0.481793 0.658219 0.896425 1.245664 1.751534 2.468303 3.579859
2025-01-26 0.446078 0.627786 0.881418 1.266743 1.846941 2.703508 4.092965
2025-02-02 0.417365 0.603421 0.871108 1.291275 1.946985 2.952737 4.654475
2025-02-09 0.389031 0.576314 0.853261 1.301089 2.023280 3.170779 5.190082
2025-02-16 0.363493 0.550685 0.834604 1.306562 2.091358 3.380362 5.734566
2025-02-23 0.345293 0.534472 0.828478 1.330426 2.190320 3.649180 6.412885
2025-03-02 0.317191 0.500109 0.790403 1.297584 2.189216 3.745345 6.789706
2025-03-09 0.303845 0.488365 0.787688 1.323473 2.291461 4.032343 7.557169
2025-03-16 0.283043 0.463087 0.761135 1.306807 2.318149 4.189058 8.102274
2025-03-23 0.269249 0.448553 0.751582 1.319339 2.399618 4.457243 8.909064
2025-03-30 0.251895 0.426469 0.727017 1.301938 2.422094 4.612915 9.501560
2025-04-06 0.237463 0.408383 0.707988 1.292843 2.459165 4.800582 10.187667
2025-04-13 0.217593 0.379160 0.666688 1.237648 2.398898 4.782420 10.411774
2025-04-20 0.210077 0.371794 0.664797 1.258577 2.494954 5.101069 11.453395
2025-04-27 0.203532 0.365710 0.664738 1.282935 2.600290 5.451144 12.621714
2025-05-04 0.195595 0.356425 0.657838 1.292678 2.675170 5.742056 13.688932
2025-05-11 0.187705 0.346671 0.649272 1.298112 2.740948 6.019412 14.764154
2025-05-18 0.182409 0.341563 0.649417 1.321805 2.849734 6.409259 16.195678
2025-05-25 0.171384 0.324464 0.624385 1.289198 2.826453 6.480584 16.777203